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We barely cashed Nick Taylor Top 20 (+230) but it was downhill from there with Matthew Fitzpatrick missing the cut, Ben Griffin doing the same, and betting against Rose in a matchup when he won the tournament. The Cheat Sheet provides DraftKings fantasy golf players with course info, player history and the most noteworthy trends of the week to help them with their roster selections. It has a variety of futures, as well. The term futures bets refers to wagers placed on the outcome of the next season. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: This drone video shows how Southern Hills has been transformed, High Upside: Jason Day ($7,500 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy to finish Top 10 Parlay (+300). Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. With an emphasis on ball-striking this week, that could be important. Matsuyama never gets enough credit for his around-the-green play, a facet where hes earned at least two strokes in each of his past five measured starts. 4. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Hatton has historically been a good iron player, gaining 0.25 strokes per round over his past 100 rounds. Few golfers possess the upside that Na doesevidenced by his five wins since 2018. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. Meronk has been padding his resume on the DP World Tour recently, winning the Australian Open, finishing T-10 in Abu Dhabi and earning a T-4, most recently, at the Ras Al Khaimah Championship. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Its time for Billy to break through, and theres a lot of evidence that he will again soon. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Hes proving to be a force on world-class golf courses, and hes in the best stretch of golf of his career. This is the second time this year that Ive put my stock in Xander Schauffele and I feel even better about it here. The other criterion is that you must be in a state where sports betting is permitted. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. In 2007 and in previous majors, the premium was all about putting your tee shot in the fairway. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). His last top-35 finish came three years ago, and hes lost strokes to the field in nine consecutive starts. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head golf matchup picks, PGA best bets. This new column, branched off from Horses For Courses, will focus on the statistical background of the PGA picks. On top of that, hes doing it with accurate driving thats a little less than long but high-quality iron play, gaining 0.54 strokes per round on approach over his last 20 rounds. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? In a shocking turn of events, its his approach play that has held him back. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. The only thing that scares me about Justin Thomas is that his approach play in his most recent starts hasnt been up to his lofty standards. At this stage of his career, hes likely better suited for tough events thanks to his winning experience. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. Southern Hills hosts the PGA Championship, and its the first time weve seen this venue since the 2007 PGA, won by Tiger Woods. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. WMPO: Sungjae Im. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? He is now one of the most dependable golfers as a result. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Online Gambling Golf PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. Riviera should set up better for him off-the-tee than TPC Scottsdale, and he has the complete game to contend again this week. The all new HyperFlex Carbon shoe features a moulded carbon fibre power plate that delivers tour-level stability and performance. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. His putter has also been great, beating the field in that category in eight of his past nine. He has +1700 PGA golf odds to win the 2022 Wyndham Championship. For every tournament, bettors can place a slew of prop bets on everything. Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. 9 this week. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. If you want to bet on golfers winning majors or perhaps the FedEx Cup and Race to Dubai outright, this is a great opportunity. American Express: Brian Harman. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Those two golf courses are much better for him than Rivera, which will expose the worst parts of his game. Poston (+8500). This is his third trip to the Wyndham, having finished second in his first three starts both of which were decided by playoffs. Its easier to do than you might think. Scheffler, the worlds top golfer, will have to contend with the likes of Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, and Justin Thomas, as well as the rest of the top 10. Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. This season, hes tour average (-0.01), and hes having the worst approach and putting season in half a decade. Thanks to live-in-play wagering, its possible to bet on a tournament even after its already begun. Every week, our golf betting experts and tipsters evaluate the PGA picks this week to determine which players are good value choices to perform well. The best golf advice from our PGA expert picks is right here. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. He held the lead at this event in 2021 heading into the back nine on Sunday. . 48,000. Thats going to be half the battle at Southern Hills and should allow Mitchell to often play from the correct position. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Featured Recent Fantasy DFS Betting In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Then it just comes down to the putter. You can use our analyses of our PGA expert picks to create your own selections based on your own evaluations of our PGA picks this week. His past 13 individual events have produced zero top 30s, and hes losing strokes in nearly every category. In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. RELATED: Breaking down Tiger Woods' record at Riviera Country Club, Riviera Country Club is one of the best courses on the schedule, demanding precision from tee through green. 0.18. Thats something Niemann thrived with during his win at Riviera earlier this year. A bit of hand-holding is in order, because . Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. As was already mentioned, betting on nationality is a unique and exciting choice. They will keep updating their pre-round odds based on the current standings and results on the leaderboards. His past 10 starts have produced seven top-20s, including two victories. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. 7800. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. When it comes to the largest tournaments, some bookmakers give up to 8 or 10 spots. Scottie Scheffler claimed the first major title of the PGA Tours 2022 season. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. Despite the negative flatstick, he still finished T-9 and T-14 in those events. We expect a complete game, like most majors, to be necessary to playing well but Im putting particular emphasis on approach play and short game. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. However, over his last 20 rounds, hes losing 0.28 strokes per round, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Tony Finau ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. Justin Thomas ($10,100 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. A compact and shrewd design by George C. Thomas Jr. and associate William P. Bell, Riviera features everything from a long Redan par 3 to a bunker in the middle of a green to an alternate-fairway par 4. Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach: 7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0) PGA Tour. Its the first elevated event of the PGA Tour season, meaning that we have a loaded field with eight of the Top 10 golfers in the world teeing it up, including Rory McIlroy making his first start stateside in 2023. When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. In fact, the three times we did see him in 2022, he lost more than 18 total strokes to the field. After placing T6 in his 2019 tournament debut, he has since gone on to place T9 and T24 in his subsequent appearances. We provide comprehensive form guides, as well as news and links to the appropriate betting markets for PGA picks, to help you make informed golf bets. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet. His outright plays include five major long shots who come in at more than 40-1. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. Finau had a stretch of 10 straight events in which he gained strokes putting, but that came to an end with losses in two straight. Web Golf Odds to Win the Arnold Palmer Invitational Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are . Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. We are seeing Pereira mature right in front of our eyes. So lets dive in. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) Of the 13 golfers priced in the $9,000 range or higher, Koepka has the second-worst SG/approach over the past 24 rounds, and he has the fourth-worst SG/around the green mark. The tour plan, to go into effect in 2024, includes changing certain larger-purse events to have smaller fields and no cuts. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. A long-standing host venue on the PGA Tour, this par 70 design will welcome the top 121 players to Memphis, Tennessee, this week. Over his past four seasons, Simpson has never gained less than 1.20 strokes per round for the campaign. A tie for ninth place at the Irish Open and a tie for a twenty-first place at St. Andrews are recent finishes. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. At the Masters, he had the best result (T3). He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Rules Review: What is casual water and how do I play around it? After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. The rating, however, was a 0.23 because Golf Channel is in fewer homes than the CW Network. It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet Every could live off that for life if he wanted, but he's still chasing the dream on the PGA Tour . Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Sam Ryder ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,400 FanDuel). A year after being named PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, he has yet to win a tournament on the professional circuit. Its a 30-player event with a guaranteed minimum prize pool of $395,000 for the winner. Poston has sneakily been really good at this tournament with three Top 26 finishes in his last four starts. From who they believe will be the leader at the end of each round to who they believe will finish first in various countries. Pick To Win: Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200 DraftKings | $10,800 FanDuel). By continuing to use this site, you are providing consent to it. ), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? It is impossible to keep up with all of the PGA Tours upcoming tournaments without our golf expert picks. Genesis: Justin Thomas. World No. It hosted a PGA Championship in 1995, a U.S. Senior Open in 1998 and a U.S. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. Our PGA Tour expert picks for the wildest event in golf as we break down our WM Phoenix Open picks, best bets and more for the first elevated event. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. The 10-time PGA Tour winner remains one of the best short iron players in this field over a large sample size, which has led him to countless high-end finishes at not just Sedgefield, but at. The top 10, where the golfer is just one or two strokes away from winning, can be a predictor of future success. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Of golfers priced $7,700 and greater on DraftKings, only Morikawas short game has been worse during that stretch. Tiger Woods ($7,300 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Instead, Im taking guys like Schauffele, Rahm, Rory, Tony Finau, Justin Thomas and more out of the mix with the Top Rest of World on FanDuel. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. All eyes will be on the 2022 Wyndham Championship, which concludes the PGA Tour regular season this week. At Sedgefield Country Club, Will Zalatoris, who finished 20th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on July 28-August 1. The 2020-21 PGA Tour season ends with this week's Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia. RELATED:How Tiger Woods could make a huge jump in the Official World Golf Ranking this week, Jhonattan Vegas ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel). The PGA Tour and LPGA Tour announced a new mixed-team event that will debut later this year in Florida and replace the QBE Shootout. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). As. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Jon Rahm, defending champion Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and many, many more will be ready to take on TPC Scottsdale this week in front of the always-raucous crowd. Pick To Win: Keith Mitchell ($6,600 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). Ill elaborate more below. He is one of our PGA tours picks this week. His best finish is a T-35 at the Masters, and his metrics are so far from what we would expect. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. Zalatoris has finished worse than the tournament average in four of his last five tournaments, including one finish three strokes behind the leader. Chris Kirk has quietly been hot with a T3 finish in each of his last two starts. Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions - 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. betting. 1 Open Expert Picks - majorpunter golf; 2 Golf Picks - Expert PGA Golf Picks This Week | Pickswise; 3 RickRunGood | Fantasy Golf & Betting Data; 4 Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood) / Twitter; 5 Wyndham Championship expert picks: Who an expert is picking to win; 6 Gambling | This is the Loop | 7 PGA Picks This Week 2022: PGA Tour Expert Picks and . By Rick Gehman February 21, 2023 After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. If you thought last weeks elevated event was big, itll be basically the same field at a major-championship caliber golf course, all while injecting Tiger Woods into the field! To get you in the mood, you can place bets on things like who will win rookie of the year or who will be declared FedEx Cup champion before the season even starts. SRP: $379.95 BOA; $329.95 lace HyperFlex Finely tuned Read more. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and .