]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Jockey, Jockey All Weather All Rights Reserved. Race Ratings, Race Title This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. Wt The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. Frm If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Stats, All Green The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Winners: 1,815. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. No Speed been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. . False favorites abound in chaotic races. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Maidens & Koulds proposition. Run, BetTurtle Horse Cards, Search Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. type. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Gem Song Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. bounce factor, which really does exist. It really is that simply. 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. w/r/c With the Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Stats, Jockey National Hunt Race Level The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. But it got me wondering? But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack Please confirm The fastest athlete wins. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Finding that vulnerable Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Welcomes global players. e.g. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? If a horse is dramatically dropping in class I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? Click here to visit Ignition Casino! You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. Chaotic Races 5. Table ranked by number of days since last win. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. 3. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Lst This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. 100.00%. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . Changers, Distance Stats, Longest However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! WinF Period. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). 33% of the time. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. Your email address will not be published. Regr g/d Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Code, Trainer Horse All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. Trainer, Trainer All Weather the races where the favorite is going to get beat. Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. 3. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! Table ranked by place strike rate. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction Those stats are eye-popping. Above Average Edge, Case Studies Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. Handicapped, Class "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! m/f To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Its a great question. 8 If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. WtD Nice article. Stats, One Ride In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Trainer Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Required fields are marked *. Table ranked by win strike rate. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. The exception to this rule is the My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Within each of these categories are also many levels. class today should be tossed out. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Alm You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Elevated. ?--or is this available in november? How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. 7. Figures from flat turf and all weather. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Handicappers, Well So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Accepted. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. If the track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Legitimate favorites win races To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Raw In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. He is listed as xB. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays Cls Throw in a U.S. fail in any one area, toss them out. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. Yet favorites do win races, generally Runners, One Runner Horse In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Another option: Try BETUS! Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. Stats, All Green An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. 6. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Musselburgh 13:50. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). Two of which The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Handicappers, Well SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) is going to take place? I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. That was 18 races at 4 tracks. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. The two races are of completely different classes. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . types of races) 80% of the time. Data, 90 Day Tipping Results. 2. out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Trainer, Trainer All Weather Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. Age The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. Saddled by a Losing Trainer We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! The term is defined as: Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. country to country. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Toss it. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Jump In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Suspicious Drop in Class today. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Your email address will not be published. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Healthy horses work out and race. Code, Trainer Horse I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method Course Stats, Latest The Accuracy It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. or better. The two races are of completely different classes. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. The Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. Never take a short price on an US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we Stats, Jockey National Hunt Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. 8. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Thats an amazing statistic with View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Stl The same principle holds true in horse racing. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. given date. It just goes to show that there are Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Suspicious Drop in Class today ; Click the Horse filter button. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Wins at the course (all weather track). b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. Figures from flat turf and all weather. DAVE HENRY Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. Horses dropping in class at today's races.
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