Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. Clyde Edwards-Helaire was used as a space player last year, and his lack of a red-zone presence placed a ceiling on his fantasy value. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Yeah, us, too. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. only site on the planet. Jamal Lewis 18. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. John Riggins 19. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. His current draft price is almost his upside. He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. Jeff Bell: Gibson finished fourth in rushing attempts. McKissic take the bulk of receiving work in Washington -- even though Gibson himself is a converted wide receiver. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Green Bay seems to like A.J. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. No thanks. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? Without the volume, he is hard to use. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Earl Campbell 9. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. So what's the concern? He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. There's zero appeal here. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. Jeff Haseley: Clyde Edwards-Helaire has all of the tools and skills to be a successful fantasy back but failing to finish runs in the end zone has slowed his progress. Barkley is a workhorse. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. Thurman Thomas 14. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. Walter Payton 5. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. . Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. The current regime did not select Robinson. Running back Chris Wells of the Arizona Cardinals was a first-round draft pick, 31st overall, in 2009 who always seemed to be on the injured list year after year. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. Jerome Bettis 16. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB33 | Consensus Projections RB31. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Chris "Beanie" Wells. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered He yields passing work to J.D. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. We've seen J.D. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. . Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. Think about that for a moment. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. I would probably rank him around 43. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. Jeff Haseley: It's easy to succumb to the notion that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the league. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. Wait until next year. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. Jim Brown 2. I'm out. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Single I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. J.D. McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + His current draft price is almost his upside. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Its a knock on his offensive line. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position.